Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.100967 0.119832 0.140969 0.166370 0.196022 0.229505 0.270137
2025-02-02 0.072460 0.096740 0.127005 0.167329 0.219457 0.284362 0.371075
2025-02-09 0.055603 0.081552 0.116746 0.167591 0.238717 0.334159 0.471302
2025-02-16 0.045157 0.071675 0.110269 0.169888 0.258863 0.385734 0.579056
2025-02-23 0.038751 0.065874 0.107828 0.176468 0.284699 0.447142 0.707149
2025-03-02 0.031459 0.057040 0.098927 0.171211 0.291117 0.479732 0.795463
2025-03-09 0.026797 0.051522 0.094149 0.171327 0.305289 0.524990 0.907612
2025-03-16 0.022668 0.046082 0.088467 0.168752 0.314144 0.562024 1.009845
2025-03-23 0.020229 0.043273 0.086877 0.172915 0.334784 0.620502 1.153821
2025-03-30 0.017501 0.039365 0.082579 0.171319 0.344578 0.660851 1.270091
2025-04-06 0.014973 0.035375 0.077450 0.167262 0.349008 0.691659 1.371921
2025-04-13 0.012707 0.031508 0.071927 0.161524 0.349241 0.714355 1.460552
2025-04-20 0.011508 0.029861 0.070881 0.165066 0.368853 0.776803 1.633106
2025-04-27 0.010353 0.028101 0.069328 0.167321 0.386147 0.836694 1.807312
2025-05-04 0.009235 0.026211 0.067167 0.167883 0.399841 0.890680 1.975123
2025-05-11 0.008373 0.024799 0.065891 0.170254 0.417727 0.955077 2.170747
2025-05-18 0.007841 0.024164 0.066386 0.176864 0.445955 1.044208 2.427275
2025-05-25 0.006780 0.021840 0.062270 0.171599 0.445877 1.071682 2.553135
2025-06-01 0.006102 0.020476 0.060410 0.171717 0.458605 1.128842 2.750039
2025-06-08 0.005398 0.018883 0.057672 0.169136 0.464342 1.170540 2.915894
2025-06-15 0.005026 0.018248 0.057477 0.173309 0.487555 1.255194 3.188727
2025-06-22 0.004497 0.016991 0.055299 0.171709 0.495653 1.304602 3.383179
2025-06-29 0.003957 0.015572 0.052402 0.167643 0.496700 1.336902 3.539562